ORDERS:
FINAL ORDER AND DECISION
This matter comes before me pursuant to S.C. Code Ann. §§ 38-73-910 et seq. (Rev.1989 & Supp.1998) and S.C. Code
Ann. §§1-23-310 et seq. (Rev.1986 & Supp.1998) on Petitioner's request for a rate increase of its homeowners property
and casualty insurance premium.
STATEMENT OF CASE
Nationwide Mutual Fire Insurance Company (hereinafter "Nationwide") made a filing with the Director of the South
Carolina Department of Insurance requesting a rate increase of 5.2% for its homeowner's insurance program on May 3,
1999.
The hearing on this matter was held before me on September 10, 1999.
Present at the hearing were Anne D. Saxon, Esq. and James C. Gray, Jr., Esq. representing Nationwide; Jeffrey Shirazi,
Senior Actuary, Nationwide; T. Douglas Concannon, Esq., Associate General Counsel, representing the South Carolina
Department of Insurance; Dean F. Kruger, Forms and Rates Director, South Carolina Department of Insurance; Hana
Williamson, Esq., representing the Office of the Consumer Advocate; and Daniel Goldstein, Esq., representing himself
as Intervenor.
From testimony, exhibits and arguments presented at the hearing, I find and conclude as follows:
FINDINGS OF FACT
Having carefully considered all testimony, evidence and arguments presented at the hearing in this matter, by a
preponderance of the evidence, I make the following findings of fact related to the requested rate increase for the
homeowner's property and casualty insurance program:
1. Respondent published notice advising the public that an application for the establishment of rates by Nationwide had
been made in The State, The Greenville News, The Charleston Post and Courier, The Rock Hill Herald and The
Darlington News and Press. The Court opened the hearing on September 10, 1999, and no members of the public
appeared and asked to speak.
2. The homeowners rate filing was prepared under the supervision of Jeffrey Shirazi.
3. Mr. Shirazi is employed by Nationwide, where he is a Senior Actuary in the Actuarial Department of that company
with nine years of experience at Nationwide.
4. Mr. Shirazi has a Bachelor of Arts degree in Mathematics and Physics from Miami of Ohio, graduating in 1990. He
is a Fellow in the Casualty Actuarial Society and a member of the American Academy of Actuaries.
5. Mr. Shirazi's job responsibilities include the directing of the ratemaking activities for Nationwide in three states,
including South Carolina.
6. Mr. Shirazi was qualified without objection as an expert in actuarial science and ratemaking.
7. The nature of the line of insurance for which this rate increase is being requested is Nationwide's Homeowners
policy, which is a broad package policy, providing coverage for accidental direct damage to insured property and for the
insured's liability for bodily injury and property damage.
8. Nationwide is requesting an overall rate increase of 5.2% for Nationwide's homeowners line of business, with
requested effective dates no sooner than October 1, 1999.
9. The rate revision includes changes to Nationwide's rating zones and changes to the basic premiums with the proposed
rate changes varying by policy form, rating zone, amount of insurance, and deductible option.
10. The filing contains an amendment providing notice to the insureds of proposed changes in hurricane deductibles and
earthquake deductibles.
11. All of these changes are described in detail in the Explanatory Memorandum included in Petitioner's filing. The
filing contains the necessary evidence and basis for the matters discussed herein and the matters which are not contested
in this proceeding.
12. The basis for Nationwide's requested rate increase is as follows. The result of Nationwide's analysis of South
Carolina Homeowners experience is an overall indicated rate increase of 10% as shown on Exhibit I-B of the filing.
13. The Nationwide rate request was judged by the standards set forth in the South Carolina Insurance Code, at section
38-73-330, providing that rates may not be excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory. The rates produced by
Nationwide's rate request were determined using generally accepted actuarial techniques and meet the statutory standards
in South Carolina.
14. Ratemaking Principles state that a rate is an estimate of the expected value of future costs.
15. Nationwide's indicated rate level adjustment is developed on Exhibit I-A and Exhibit I-B of the rate filing. This
Exhibit displays the expected value of Nationwide's estimated future costs, non-weather losses, expenses, and the cost of
capital as reflected in Nationwide's selected underwriting profit provision. These costs are then related to Nationwide's
projected premium income at the current rate level.
CONTESTED ISSUES
16. The main issues of contention in this filing are: (1) whether the filing meets the statutory standards; (2) whether the
coastal territorial premium changes were justified; and (3) whether the use of a percentage as opposed to flat deductibles
for the wind and hail peril was appropriate.
NON-WEATHER PROVISION
17. The non-weather incurred loss estimate was derived as follows. First, Nationwide estimated the non-weather loss
per policy based on an in-depth analysis of the development of historical incurred loss per policy. Filing Exhibit I-A
shows the historical data through 1997 as well as the trended values.
18. Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses (ALAE) are incurred in investigating and settling certain specifically identified
claims. Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses (ULAE) are those incurred in investigating and settling claims that are
not directly assigned to specific claims, such as expenses associated with running and maintaining Nationwide's Claims
Service Centers and salaries for claims adjusters and management. (See testimony of Shirazi.) Loss adjustment
expenses are reflected in the data found in Exhibit I-A.
WEATHER PROVISION
19. Weather losses by nature are large and fortuitous events that cause widespread property damage. This type of loss
occurs less often than the non-weather losses described above. It is appropriate to include a provision for weather losses
in Nationwide's rates to cover the long-term cost of these events. This long-term provision is determined by analyzing
the historical weather loss experience and calculating a provision in the rates. (See Filing Exhibit II.)
20. When looking at annual weather losses, it is clear that some years will incur substantial weather losses (such as 1989
with Hurricane Hugo) while other years may see no such catastrophic events. That is why Nationwide includes a
provision to cover weather losses in the long-run, to eliminate the year-to-year fluctuation in the rates that would occur if
Nationwide determined their weather provision based on the most recent year or two of weather losses. (See testimony
of Kruger and Shirazi.)
21. The weather provision consists of two components: non-hurricane (tornadoes, windstorms, winter storms, freezing)
and hurricane. (See testimony of Shirazi).
22. Nationwide capped individual territorial changes to 25%. (See Filing Exhibit VII, Revised.)
23. Nationwide's method for developing the weather loss provision has been recognized in many states as actuarially
sound. (See testimony of Shirazi.) Models have become the prevelant method for prediction of storm losses since
Hurricane Andrew. (See testimony of Kruger.)
24. The Nationwide model utilizes data from 100 years of hurricane events. The model includes South Carolina data.
The model is provided by Applied Insurance Research. The model is applied to Nationwide's South Carolina exposure.
(See testimony of Shirazi.)
25. Nationwide's provision for non-hurricane losses and LAE is actuarially sound and reasonable. (See testimony of
Shirazi and Kruger.)
26. Nationwide's provision for hurricane losses and LAE is actuarially sound and reasonable; and the amount
Nationwide has included in this year's South Carolina homeowners filing is reasonable. (See testimony of Shirazi and
Kruger.)
TERRITORIAL CHANGES
27. The overall rate change is distributed through territorial changes. Undisputed 'expert testimony and data in the filing
indicated that the territorial changes were appropriate. The Petitioner capped the changes whenever the impact would
exceed 25%.
28. The expert testimony in support of these territorial changes was undisputed.
UNDERWRITING PROFIT AND CONTINGENCY PROVISION
29. Nationwide included an underwriting profit and contingency provision equal to 5% of earned premium based upon
Nationwide's analysis of the cost of capital in its filing. (See Filing Exhibit IV.)
30. The components of the provision for the cost of capital in the rate calculation are as follows. The cost of capital is
the amount necessary to provide the company with an after-tax total rate of return commensurate with the risk to which
capital is exposed. The return to the insurance company comes from three sources: (1) Underwriting Profit; (2)
Investment Income; and (3) Capital Gains. (See Filing Exhibit IV.)
31. The total rate of return is stated as a percentage of surplus. The rate of return set in the filing is 8.4%.
32. Based on Nationwide's estimates of premiums, losses, and expenses, and taking into consideration a reasonable
provision for underwriting profit and contingencies, Nationwide's indicated rate level change for the South Carolina
Homeowners program is a 10% increase. Nationwide proposes an overall 5.2% increase. The indicated rate changes
were calculated using accepted actuarial techniques, which have been used and approved in prior filings in this state.
These techniques are in compliance with South Carolina law.
DEDUCTIBLES
33. The intervenor, Daniel Goldstein, objected to percentage deductibles for the windstorm and hail peril.
34. These deductibles in the filing vary by territory on the coast only from 1% to 2%. The proposed premiums reflect a
credit for the windstorm deductible. (See testimony of Shirazi.)
35. No evidence was introduced against the proposed deductibles. Expert testimony of Shirazi and Kruger indicated that
the deductibles were appropriate.
DEPARTMENT OF INSURANCE'S INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF FILING
36. Based on these facts, the State Department of Insurance did not oppose the rate increase for the homeowners
program.
37. Dean Kruger, the Forms and Rates Director of the South Carolina Department of Insurance, testified for the
Department of Insurance. (Testimony of Kruger.)
38. Mr. Kruger is responsible for the approval of all property casualty insurance rates, forms, and rules in South
Carolina. (See testimony of Kruger.)
39. Mr. Kruger has worked at the department for nine years. (See testimony of Kruger.)
40. Mr. Kruger has reviewed thousands of insurance rate filings over the course of his professional career. (See
testimony of Kruger.)
41. Mr. Kruger was qualified without objection as an expert in ratemaking.
42. In addition to the persuasive testimony by Petitioner, Mr. Kruger's expert testimony established that Petitioner's
filing satisfied the statutory standards in every respect.
43. Mr. Kruger's review of this filing involved his review of the filing to determine if the assumptions and the
calculations contained in the filing were reasonable and whether the 5.2% overall increase as derived from those
calculations in the filing would produce rates that were not excessive, inadequate or unfairly discriminatory. (See
testimony of Kruger.)
CONCLUSIONS OF LAW
Based upon the foregoing Findings of Fact, I conclude, as a matter of law, the following:
1. The South Carolina Administrative Law Judge Division is empowered to hear this case pursuant to S.C. Code Ann. §
38-73-910 and S.C. Code Ann. § 1-23-320, as amended.
2. The law governing the making of rates is well defined. Insurance rates are regulated under Title 38 of the South
Carolina Code of Laws, 1976, as amended. The pertinent statutory requirement is that rates may not be excessive,
inadequate or unfairly discriminatory. S.C. Code Ann. Section 38-73-330(2).
3. The Administrative Law Judge's powers are granted by the Administrative Procedures Act, S.C. Code Ann. §§ 1-23-310 et seq., (APA), and the standards of administrative and judicial review of the rate filing are set forth in the
Insurance Code by virtue of the law requiring that no rate may be excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory. §
38-73-330(2) (Supp. 1995). The filer must simply prove that the standard is met by a preponderance of the evidence.
4. Section 1-23-350 of the Act sets forth the ALJ's powers to make findings of fact and conclusions of law. § 1-23-350
(Rev. 1986). The ALJ's findings and conclusions are to be separately stated in writing in a final decision or order. Id.
A concise and explicit statement of the underlying facts supporting the findings must accompany all findings of fact set
forth in statutory language. Id. The findings of fact must be based exclusively on the evidence and on matters officially
noticed. § 1-23-320(i) (Supp. 1998).
5. Pursuant to S.C. Code Ann. § 38-73-910, notice of the filing and of the public hearing was given in all newspapers of
statewide circulation at least 30 days in advance of the hearing.
6. Pursuant to the responsibilities charged to the Department of Insurance, an independent investigation was made of the
proposed filing. All findings of fact are based exclusively on the evidence and on matters officially noticed. S.C. Code
Ann. § 1-23-320. Due consideration has been given to the numerous exhibits and extensive testimony in the record.
7. Nationwide's expert witness, Jeffrey Shirazi, and the expert witness of the Department of Insurance, Dean Kruger,
were credible on the fundamental issues that the Court must consider in determining whether the requested rates and
deductibles are excessive in this rate filing.
8. In addition, the South Carolina Consumer Advocate and its retained actuary reviewed the filing and do not oppose it.
The Consumer Advocate also reviewed the form of notices associated with the deductibles and other changes. (See
Petitioner's Exhibit 1 from the Hearing.)
9. The Department of Insurance's expert actuary, Dean Kruger, testified in favor of Nationwide's requested rate
increase. The General Assembly has delegated its legislative power to supervise and regulate the rates of insurance
companies to the Director of the South Carolina Department of Insurance. S.C. Code Ann. § 38-3-110.
10. As the Department's expert, Kruger's "experience, technical competence, and specialized knowledge may be utilized
in the evaluation of the evidence." S.C. Code Ann. § 1-23-330(4). Kruger testified that Nationwide's filing were
reasonable with respect to deductibles, territorial changes, and rates and met the statutory standards.
11. The testimony of the two experts who were present at the hearing and qualified as experts both testified that the
filing met all statutory standards, which testimony was undisputed.
12. Nationwide met the burden of proof in this rate increase request by establishing by a preponderance of the evidence
that the revised rates would not be excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory and that the filing was otherwise in
compliance with law. S.C. Code Ann. § 38-73-330(2).
CONCLUSION
I, THEREFORE, CONCLUDE that the proposed rates meet all statutory requirements and are, therefore, approved
effective October 1, 1999, or as soon thereafter as the Petitioner may implement the changes.
_______________________
John D. Geathers
Administrative Law Judge
Columbia, South Carolina
October 8, 1999 |